There’s a (tiny) bit of a discussion going on in Twitter about a post I wrote responding to Vinod Khosla’s statement that 80% of the work that doctors do will one day be replaced by computer algorithms.
(BTW, the title as cross-posted on the Health Care Blog -“The Day the Electronic Medical Record Tried to Kill Me“- was not mine. My original post, if anyone is interested, was entitled “Will Doctors be Needed in the Future?” THCB’s new title made it look like my post was just another rant against the EMR. It was so much more than that.)
What I said
In my post, I talked a bit about the marketplace-driven IT innovations in healthcare, and medicine as seen through the eyes of the IT entrepeneurs. I questioned just how much of what doctors do today can really be replaced by algorithms, particularly the doctor-patient relationship.
I then asked if Khosla was right and answered myself – Maybe. I stated that we were in the midst of a huge disruption in healthcare, and reflected on how I was already seeing signs of that disruption in my current practice. And while I still did not see anything changing too much just yet, as far as the future Khosla predicted? I wasn’t so sure.
I then stated that if there is a revolution in healthcare, we docs needed to make ourselves a part of it now. I urged my fellow physicians to become involved, in order to be sure that what happens in the IT-driven healthcare future actually improves our patients’ health beyond what we are doing today.
It’s a completely legitimate concern, and, I believe, an extremely important one. As an example, I cited the evolution of the EMR – a system that has created high hopes and caused huge disruption at enormous cost, even as we continue to struggle to find conclusive evidence that EMR use actually improves patient outcomes.
I then began to wonder what the future would look like if replacing 80% of doctor’s work with technology actually freed us up to do the real work of medicine. I imagined us then redistributing ourselves around the globe, virtually and actually, to take care of the entire planet. And called that the ultimate disruption in healthcare.
A pretty optimistic vision of the technological future if you ask me.
I thought my post was a thoughtful take on Khosla’s vision, not a takedown of it.
And yet, on Twitter, Khosla has called my post a “Usual muddy interpretation and narrow mindedness of what I said.”
How is my interpretation muddy or my take “narrow-minded”? As the end user whose work life has been radically impacted by technology, and a doctor who bears significant responsibility for the health outcomes of my patients, I think I have a right to discuss my thoughts about the healthcare technological revolution without being called “narrow-minded”.
What may be narrow-minded is Khosla’s representation of doctors as part of the problem and not the solution. I won’t get into his calling us “lazy”, or his implications that it is only the top 20% of docs – whoever they are – who are worth having around.
Maybe it’s simply that Khosla has decided that Steve Jobs was right when he said that – “A lot of times, people don’t know what they want until you show it to them.”
In which case, I guess we docs (and by extension, our patients) are just supposed to shut up and wait until Khosla and the rest of the IT gurus show us what we want.
Or risk being called “narrow-minded”.
whatever. medicine is not like picking the perfect sheets, or the nicest countertop.
for one thing, patients do not get to choose their symptoms. for another — the choices of diagnostics and treatment may vary from “proven” to “dear lord, it may sound cool but that is insane.”
as a true “end consumer” (the patient with the problem), i want some ways to distinguish between proven and insane. tech can help with that, but — i need a qualified interpreter and my own expert in the process, not an algorithm.
as mentioned before, too — i do not always know, as a patient, which pieces of history or symptoms might be important.
Your posts are always thoughtful. I googled that guy – he’s a venture capitalist. Now it all makes sense. Another business person that thinks a straight business model will fix healthcare. When he can create an APP that’ll wipe his ass and empty his bedpan, I’ll believe that 80% of the work that healthcare providers do will one day be replaced by computer algorithm. If he truly wanted to be on the cutting edge of healthcare, he should probably seek to understand instead of only seeking to be understood.
“When he can create an APP that’ll wipe his ass and empty his bedpan…”
Yet another brilliant zinger!!!! You kill me.
XOXO
Peggy